Drawing on the authorsâ two decades of experience in applied modeling and data mining Foundations of Predictive Analytics presents the fundamental background required for analyzing data and building models for many practical applications such as consumer behavior modeling risk and marketing analytics and other areas. It also discusses a variety of practical topics that are frequently missing from similar texts. The book begins with the statistical and linear algebra/matrix foundation of modeling methods from distributions to cumulant and copula functions to CornishâFisher expansion and other useful but hard-to-find statistical techniques. It then describes common and unusual linear methods as well as popular nonlinear modeling approaches including additive models trees support vector machine fuzzy systems clustering naÃve Bayes and neural nets. The authors go on to cover methodologies used in time series and forecasting such as ARIMA GARCH and survival analysis. They also present a range of optimization techniques and explore several special topics such as DempsterâShafer theory. An in-depth collection of the most important fundamental material on predictive analytics this self-contained book provides the necessary information for understanding various techniques for exploratory data analysis and modeling. It explains the algorithmic details behind each technique (including underlying assumptions and mathematical formulations) and shows how to prepare and encode data select variables use model goodness measures normalize odds and perform reject inference. Web ResourceThe bookâs website at www. DataMinerXL. com offers the DataMinerXL software for building predictive models. The site also includes more examples and information on modeling. . Language: English